Roads and Bridges - Drogi i Mosty
8, 1, 2009, 73-88

Prediction of the number of trips attracted to the city

Tomasz Szczuraszek Mail
Katedra Budownictwa Drogowego, Uniwersytet Technologiczno-Przyrodniczy w Bydgoszczy
Published: 2016-02-02

Abstract

Traffic in the city is generated not only by its citizens, but also by the other persons, that visit the city for obligatory and facultative purposes. The author's research results show that these persons generate a significant internal traffic. Therefore exclusion of this traffic in analysis might lead to considerable errors. Relationships enabling prediction of the number of persons of different homogeneous behaviour groups, visiting the city for obligatory and facultative purposes, for given years are presented in this paper. However presented relationships are determined under some simplifying assumptions. The obtained simple relationships require only few data coming from research. Mentioned relationships were used by the author for spatial analysis of travel for several different size cities in Poland, from big ones (like Bydgoszcz, Katowice), by medium (like i.e. Toruń, Rybnik), to small ones (like i.e. Brzeg, Wejherowo). In each case the acceptable precision of analysis was obtained. It proves the practical utility of relationships derived in the paper.

Full Text:

PDF

References


Praca zbiorowa: Wyniki badań ankietowych w Katowicach i Siemianowicach Śląskich, SITK, Kraków, 1998/1999

Szczuraszek T., Kempa J., Bebyn G., Chmielewski J.: Wybrane charakterystyki zachowań komunikacyjnych osób na przykładzie kilku miast polskich. Konferencja Naukowa KILiW PAN i KN PZITB, Krynica 2001

Szczuraszek T., Chmielewski J., Kempa J., Bebyn G.: Zachowania komunikacyjne osób w obszarze miasta. Drogi i Mosty nr 1/2005

Szczuraszek T.: Determination of numbers of people in groups of homogenous communication behavior for analysis of transportation needs. Archive of Polish Transport, The Polish Academy of Sciences, lssue 4, Warsaw 2003

Szczuraszek T.: Transport means usage in trips absorbed by a city. Archive of Polish Transport, The Polish Academy of Sciences. Issue 2, Warsaw 2004

Szczuraszek T., Chmielewski J., Kempa J., Bebyn G.: Transport behavior of inhabitants in big and medium cities of Poland. International Conference – Modeling and Management In Transportation, Kraków - Poznań 1999

PTV System GmbH: VISUM. Interactive Network Processing (Individual Traffic). Karlsruhe 2000

PTV System GmbH: VISEM. Trip chain based traffic demand modeling. User's Manual, Karlsruhe 2000


Prediction of the number of trips attracted to the city

  
Szczuraszek, Tomasz. Prediction of the number of trips attracted to the city. Roads and Bridges - Drogi i Mosty, [S.l.], v. 8, n. 1, p. 73-88, feb. 2016. ISSN 2449-769X. Available at: <>. Date accessed: 09 Jul. 2020.